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| | Belief Revision Theory | |
We have moved from degrees of belief to belief, and found ranking theory to provide a link between these two notions. While some philosophers (most probabilists, e.g. Jeffrey 1970) hold the view that degrees of belief are more basic than beliefs, others adopt the opposite view. This opposite view is generally adopted in traditional epistemology, which is mainly concerned with the notion of knowledge and its tripartite definition as justified true belief. Belief in this sense comes in three “degrees”: the ideal doxastic agent either believes [ltr]AA[/ltr], or else she believes [ltr]W∖AW∖A[/ltr]and thus disbelieves [ltr]AA[/ltr], or else she believes neither [ltr]AA[/ltr] nor [ltr]W∖AW∖A[/ltr] and thus suspends judgment with respect to [ltr]AA[/ltr]. Ordinary doxastic agents sometimes believe both [ltr]AA[/ltr] and [ltr]W∖AW∖A[/ltr], but we assume that they should not do so, and hence ignore this case.According to this view, an agent’s doxastic state is characterized by the set of propositions she believes, her belief set. Such a belief set is required to be consistent and deductively closed (Hintikka 1961 and the entry on see the entry on epistemic logic). Here a belief set is usually represented as a set of sentences from a language [ltr]LL[/ltr] rather than as a set of propositions. The question addressed by belief revision theory (Alchourrón & Gärdenfors & Makinson 1985, Gärdenfors 1988, Gärdenfors & Rott 1995) is how an ideal doxastic agent should revise her belief set [ltr]B⊆LB⊆L[/ltr] if she learns new information in the form of a sentence [ltr]α∈Lα∈L[/ltr]. If [ltr]αα[/ltr] is consistent with [ltr]BB[/ltr] in the sense that [ltr]¬α¬α[/ltr] is not derivable from [ltr]BB[/ltr], the agent should simply add [ltr]αα[/ltr] to [ltr]BB[/ltr] and close this set under (classical) logical consequence. In this case her new belief set, i.e., her old belief set [ltr]BB[/ltr] revised by the new information [ltr]αα[/ltr], [ltr]B∗αB∗α[/ltr], is the set of logical consequences of [ltr]B∪{α}B∪{α}[/ltr], [ltr]B∗α=Cn(B∪{α})={β∈L:B∪{α}⊢β}B∗α=Cn(B∪{α})={β∈L:B∪{α}⊢β}[/ltr].Things get interesting when the new information [ltr]αα[/ltr] contradicts the old belief set [ltr]BB[/ltr]. Here the basic idea is that the agent’s new belief set [ltr]B∗αB∗α[/ltr] should contain the new information [ltr]αα[/ltr] and as many of the old beliefs in [ltr]BB[/ltr] as is allowed by the requirement that the new belief set be consistent and deductively closed. To state this more precisely, let us introduce the notion of acontraction. To contract a statement [ltr]αα[/ltr] from a belief set [ltr]BB[/ltr] is to give up the belief that [ltr]αα[/ltr] is true, but to keep as many of the remaining beliefs from [ltr]BB[/ltr] while ensuring consistency and deductive closure. Where [ltr]B÷αB÷α[/ltr] is the agent’s new belief set after contracting her old belief set [ltr]BB[/ltr] by [ltr]αα[/ltr], the A(lchourrón)G(ärdenfors)M(akinson) postulates for contraction [ltr]÷÷[/ltr] can be stated as follows. (Note that [ltr]∗∗[/ltr] as well as [ltr]÷÷[/ltr] are functions from [ltr]℘(L)×L℘(L)×L[/ltr] into [ltr]℘(L)℘(L)[/ltr].)For every set of sentences [ltr]B⊆LB⊆L[/ltr] and any sentences [ltr]α,β∈Lα,β∈L[/ltr]:[ltr](÷1)(÷1)[/ltr] | If [ltr]B=Cn(B)B=Cn(B)[/ltr], then [ltr]B÷α=Cn(B÷α)B÷α=Cn(B÷α)[/ltr] | Deductive Closure | [ltr](÷2)(÷2)[/ltr] | [ltr]B÷α⊆BB÷α⊆B[/ltr] | Inclusion | [ltr](÷3)(÷3)[/ltr] | If [ltr]α∉α∉[/ltr] Cn[ltr](B)(B)[/ltr], then [ltr]B÷α=BB÷α=B[/ltr] | Vacuity | [ltr](÷4)(÷4)[/ltr] | If [ltr]α∉α∉[/ltr] Cn[ltr](∅)(∅)[/ltr], then [ltr]α∉Cn(B÷α)α∉Cn(B÷α)[/ltr] | Success | [ltr](÷5)(÷5)[/ltr] | If [ltr]Cn({α})=Cn({β})Cn({α})=Cn({β})[/ltr], then [ltr]B÷α=B÷βB÷α=B÷β[/ltr] | Preservation | [ltr](÷6)(÷6)[/ltr] | If [ltr]B=Cn(B)B=Cn(B)[/ltr], then [ltr]B⊆Cn((B÷α)∪{α})B⊆Cn((B÷α)∪{α})[/ltr] | Recovery | [ltr](÷7)(÷7)[/ltr] | If [ltr]B=Cn(B)B=Cn(B)[/ltr], then [ltr](B÷α)∩(B÷β)⊆B÷(α∧β)(B÷α)∩(B÷β)⊆B÷(α∧β)[/ltr] | | [ltr](÷8)(÷8)[/ltr] | If [ltr]B=Cn(B)B=Cn(B)[/ltr] and [ltr]α∉B÷(α∧β)α∉B÷(α∧β)[/ltr], then [ltr]B÷(α∧β)⊆B÷αB÷(α∧β)⊆B÷α[/ltr] | [ltr]÷1÷1[/ltr] says that the contraction of [ltr]BB[/ltr] by [ltr]αα[/ltr], [ltr]B÷αB÷α[/ltr], should be deductively closed, if [ltr]BB[/ltr] is deductively closed. [ltr]÷2÷2[/ltr] says that a contraction should not give rise to new beliefs not previously held. [ltr]÷3÷3[/ltr] says that the ideal doxastic agent should not change her old beliefs when she gives up a sentence she does not believe to begin with. [ltr]÷4÷4[/ltr] says that, unless [ltr]αα[/ltr] is tautological, the agent should really give up her belief that [ltr]αα[/ltr] is true if she contracts by [ltr]αα[/ltr]. [ltr]÷5÷5[/ltr] says that the particular formulation of the sentence the agent gives up should not matter; in other words, the objects of belief should really be propositions rather than sentences. [ltr]÷6÷6[/ltr] says the agent should recover her old beliefs if she first contracts by [ltr]αα[/ltr] and then adds [ltr]αα[/ltr] again, provided [ltr]BB[/ltr] is deductively closed. According to [ltr]÷7÷7[/ltr] the agent should not give up more beliefs when contracting by [ltr]α∧βα∧β[/ltr] than the ones she gives up when she contracts by [ltr]αα[/ltr] alone as well as when she contracts by [ltr]ββ[/ltr] alone. [ltr]÷8÷8[/ltr]finally requires the agent not to give up more beliefs than necessary: if the agent already gives up [ltr]αα[/ltr] when she contracts by [ltr]α∧βα∧β[/ltr], she should not give up more when contracting by [ltr]αα[/ltr] than she gives up when contracting by [ltr]α∧βα∧β[/ltr]. Rott (2001) discusses many further principles and variants of the above. | |
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الثلاثاء مارس 15, 2016 11:15 am من طرف free men